The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
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Description
Title:
The Art of Uncertainty
Condition :BRAND NEW
Format :Hardcover
ISBN: 9780241658628
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Title
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
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